Sustainable Forestry Investment - Christmas Tree Project

  

New Marketing Software + Industry Segment - Current Demand

  

Launch of New Product Line - No Competition / New Space

  

UAV Integrity Inspection Services

  

Prime + -- the drink of NOW

  

10% per Year Mortgage Investment - Prime Downtown Riverdale Development, Earns 8% + 2% DLF per year

  

First E-Sports Arena in Toronto Opening Fall 2016

  

Joorbit

  

Growing Infrastructure business $ 3 Mil sales

  

Reputable Restorer, New Restoration Shop

  

Restaurant Investment Opportunity

  

Startup company - Novelty Product Line - 100% Odor free Toilets & Urinals Fixtures

  

Football Equipment Purchase

  

Investor/partner for apartment building

  

Lake Resort on Lake Koocanusa

  

Bakery Expansion

  

Working Capital For Real Estate Bungalow Loft Home Developments & Duplex Builds

  

8%-20%+ projected Average ROI/yr - stable & lower-risk apartment purchase in a solid Ontario market

  

Healthcare Investment

  

Class A shares $0.25 in return for your investment

  

Earn 8% on First Mortgage Opportunity for Real Estate Development in Muskoka

  

Quarterly Return 3-6% Guaranteed (Evidence Of Guarantee)

  

Land Purchase Opportunity With Established Golf Course Business

  

Stock Purchase of Trailer Manufacturing Company

  

Revenue Participation!!! Exceptional Returns!!! Precious Metal Analysis & Acquisition Services

  

Invest in the next home & office beverage dispenser.

  

Aerosports Trampoline Parks

  

Solar Optics Module

  

Good Luck/Have Fun Video Game Bar/Lounge

  

STANDOUT Publications - Canadians who STAND OUT

  

Manufacturing of natural health and beauty products

  

Short term Loan for purchase of lucrative well established company

  

The Only Self-Cleaning Medical Tapes & Dressings

  

PokemonGO DEX

  

Investment opportunity of the century

  

Pre-Construction Condo Buy-In

  

Seeking Technology Investor For Ground Breaking Product

  

Pre Sold New Home Construction

  

Renovated banquet hall. Prime location

  

Invest In Innovative Ideas

  

 

Canadian Investment Network


Recent Blogs


Testimonials

"Our small, early-stage company recently signed up for your service. We got numerous inquiries, several of which we are pursuing, and hopefully will find an investor partner as a result. It is almost impossible for young companies to attract investment capital in the current financial climate, but you managed to bring a number of qualified and interested parties to the table. I would recommend your service to any early-stage company seeking capital. Bruce Jones, CFO "
Bruce Jones

 BLOG >> Recent

Representing Decisions with Graphviz [Decision Trees
Posted on July 29, 2013 @ 07:14:00 AM by Paul Meagher

Previously I discussed a simple risk management framework that involves precisely specifying the actions, events, and outcomes involved in a decision problem.

One aspect of "precisely specifying" a decision is representing the overall decision making problem in the form of a graph. We can use a pad of paper to draw lines representing possible actions, which lead to events, which lead to outcomes. Or, we can use a tool like Graphviz to construct much prettier graphs and make us feel more professional.

GraphViz was developed by AT&T Research and is considered a top-tier tool for creating/visualizing graph structures.

In today's blog, I want to give you a basic idea of how Graphviz works so you can judge for yourself whether you want to invest time into learning it.

To generate a graph using Graphviz you need to write some commands into a "dot" file that ends with the extension ".dot". The term "dot" is also used to denote one of the main Graphviz programs used to generate graphs from dot files. Also, the term "DOT" is used to refer to the command langauge you enter into your dot files.

Without further ado, here is dot file called DecisionTree.dot that depicts a decision in terms of an action, event, outcome framework for managing risk.

digraph DecisionTree {

  Decision -> Action1;
  Decision -> Action2;

  Action1 -> Event1;
  Event1 -> Outcome1;
  Event1 -> Outcome2;

  Action2 -> Event2;
  Event2 -> Outcome3;
  Event2 -> Outcome4;

}

If I run this command from my Linux command prompt:

dot -Tpng DecisionTree.dot > DecisionTree.png

The dot interpreter will read the file and generate the graph in png format. This is what that output looks like.

As you can see, it is not difficult to go from entering commands into a dot file and generating a decent looking graph. The DOT language has much more powerful features for drawing graphs than what I am showing you here; however, in the initial stages of sketching out the actions, events, and outcomes involved in your decision problem, you may want to keep things simple and just focus on drawing out all the nodes and the lines between them.

The graph below visualizes a nitrogren application decision. Do I apply 90 lbs per acre of Nitrogren or 110 lbs? The effect of each action on the crop I want to grow is jointly determined by the amount of rainfall I'm likely to recieve over the growing season. The action forks (i.e., application amounts) lead to the event forks (i.e., rainfall amounts) which lead to the terminal outcomes (i.e., expected number of bushels).

Permalink 

 Archive 
 

Categories


 Site News [9]
 Finance [21]
 Decision Making [11]
 Startups [12]
 Entrepreneurship [46]
 Farming [14]
 Future [10]
 Writing [2]
 Energy [1]
 Investing [19]
 Video [2]
 Leisure [5]
 Selling [11]
 Economics [9]
 Agriculture [48]
 Psychology [0]
 Decision Trees [8]
 Bayesian Inference [13]
 Education [7]
 Statistics [3]
 Business Models [23]
 Growth [13]
 Patents & Trademarks [1]
 Venture Capital [4]
 Robots [1]
 Events [2]
 Useful Links [2]
 Creativity [5]
 Trends [4]
 Books [3]
 Motivation [3]
 Management [4]
 Lens Model [9]
 Systems Thinking [2]
 Nature [13]
 Permaculture [28]
 Design [24]
 Eco-Green [2]